11 Comments
User's avatar
Ponti Min's avatar

Is there a reason you decided every paragraph must be exactly 3 lines long? It seems an odd stylistic choice to me.

Ahnaf Ibn Qais's avatar

Habit... I prefer longer sentences to shorter ones, especially those that get the point across as densely as possible; it’s more something I developed over Time as opposed to there being a deeper meaning behind it... so more it’s custom than anything else! 😉

Ryre's avatar

You act like the West—Israel and the U.S.—can only defend, while Iran launches infinite waves of attacks until the defense is exhausted. You seem to completely neglect the entire their half of the equation. And we’ve already seen that Iran’s own air defenses are worthless against the West’s air power.

Yes, according to you Iran’s offensive capability is dispersed and redundant. Well, let’s suppose that there is a protracted engagement in which the West is unable to suit down Iran’s offensive capability with target strikes and its defense is becoming exhausted, leaving Israel and U.S. forces and assets vulnerable to serious casualties. What does the West do then? I do not thing the answer is “accept the losses”….

Ahnaf Ibn Qais's avatar

The Americans have around 40,000 deployed to CENTCOM presently & in terms of interceptors... the 12-day War used up 25-50% of all local defensive assets (THAADs & other interceptors) so that is precisely the point I am alluding to here with this piece:

Namely, that what America + Israel will find is that after the first wave or so, where the Iranians expend 1-2% of their arsenal, the remaining waves will arrive unopposed... PRECISELY because Interceptors are irrelevant in the face of Mass Saturation:

& Iran has precisely said Escalation Dominance in Theatre once Conventional assets are considered (I am not factoring in Nukes, simply because MAD is a thing & it would be outside the scope of this piece)... the numbers are roughly speaking...

0.7 to 1 kilotons of TNT equivalent per CBG (after accounting for fuel, interceptors, supplies, etc for ALL destroyers, jets, the carrier, etc)... while Iran's SRBM arsenal alone has ~20 kilotons of TNT equivalent yield... of which the main limit is adequate launchers.

Ryre's avatar

Again you are only counting the West’s defensive assets, e.g. interceptors. Totally neglecting that the West would achieve complete air superiority and then hunt and kill offensive capabilities and command and control. And if that didn’t work and serious losses were imminent, well…mutually assured destruction only exists when each side can destroy the other. Iran has no such capability.

Ahnaf Ibn Qais's avatar

There is no 'Air superiority' without basing. To think otherwise is delusion:

& every jet has finite range... so much so that the lion’s share of said jets on the CBG won’t even reach Tehran, given payload & other considerations (specifically, going through layered air defences without getting shot down by Iranian AA).

& if you have 0.7-1 kilotons per CBG in firepower & the other guy has 20 kilotons JUST from his SRBMs, he outguns you on *offensive* assets... read the comment thoroughly before responding... You seem to be lacking on that front, methinks! 😊

Anyhow... Math is a harsh mistress, & I am fully aware of what the physical limits are *per CBG* with regard to carrying offensive munitions! Weapons aren't 'magic', they need to be Transported from Point A to Point B to fight a war! 🤭

Fun Fact- If your Land Bases get blown to bits, & your jets can no longer take off, you can't *physically* take control of any of the sky, no matter how much you yell loudly about 'AIR SUPERIORITY' or whatever else you learned from the movies! 😂

Ryre's avatar

The U.S. and Israel didn’t seem to have much trouble penetrating Iran’s air defenses—and fucking then up in the process—just recently. I think air superiority over Iran could be achieved with couple of biplanes and a surplus Huey at this point. But continue with your propaganda fantasies.

Ahnaf Ibn Qais's avatar

If you believe that hitting a hospital with a cruise missile is 'penetration', then by that logic the Ukrainians will be winning the war any moment now due to their penetration of Russian systems using Drones! 😊 (Yes, your implication is actually this retarded!)

As for 'fucking them up'... ask the Israelis themselves about the overall damage they suffered from Iran firing 5-6 missiles every 3-4 hours over a measly 12-day period (which is around 1-2% of their salvo capability btw, & this is per Western sources!) 😊

Goyim 🐄 🐮 like you have no concept of what it means to get 'air cover' over 1.6 million square kilometres using jets that have (at most) 500 kilometres or so of radius on a good day...! 😊 I'd call you 'math challenged' but you're probably just math illiterate! 🤭

"You're not tall enough for this ride" is generous... but hey, 'the goyim 🐄 🐮 aren't people' isn't just rhetoric, it's a tautological maxim at this point! 😊 🤭

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Feb 10
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